Case record
The best packing known for 202 squares, side 2+92,

n=202

= corrects Nagamochi 2005open

14.22042273…≤s(202)≤14.72792206…

14.2214.728
141516
14.21315.213
nn+1

Proven

14.22042≤s(202)≤14.727923

  • exact

Citation record n-202

lowerKarakuş 2026, arXiv corrects Nagamochi 2005 (confirmed T-083)

upperFriedman & Ellsworth, Squares in Squares (reported)

Open

  • optimality

Bounds

Best known packing

2+92

14.72792206135785
Construction
strip
Source
[Kingbird]
Evidence
E-kingbird-upper-register
Reported lower bound

14.27513779…

14.275137791094
Proved by
Hosono 2026
Kind
counting
Scope
Unrestricted unit-square packing with independent rotations and disjoint interiors.
Note
Hosono's closed form (wand125, 13 October 2026, T-180): s(N) >= a(N) for every non-square N >= 49, from a measure of line segments on 34 intervals of the fractional part. At n=202, k = 14 and interval 6 give a(202) = 14.275137791094952458820379644716..., here rounded down at 12 and 30 places. The source replayed its certificate with its own checker; no replay has run here.
Source
[wand125 closed form 2026-10-14]
Evidence
E-wand125-closed-form-report
Verified lower bound

14.22042273…

14.220422734
Corrects
Nagamochi 2005 (T-007)
Evidence
E-karakus-strip-lower, E-karakus-strip-measure-interval
Gap

0.50749932…

Verified upper minus verified lower.

Results in the register

  • T-007 V0 C1 Nagamochi · 2026-08-31 · 321 cases

    s(n)≥min(⌈n⌉,n−2⌊n⌋+1+1) for 4≤n≤324

  • T-083 V3 C3 Karakuş · 2026-10-02 · 301 cases

    s(n)≥1/2+n−⌊n⌋+1/4 for every nonsquare 8≤n≤324

  • T-085 V3 C3 Karakuş; Vlasenko · 2026-10-02 · 315 cases

    Nagamochi 2005, Lemma 1 is false for every container with a>3 and b>2

  • T-101 V3 C3 Daniel after Couzo, de Winter, Ellsworth, Levy · 2026-10-06 · 77 cases

    Exact certificates of 77 catalogue packings: s(n) ≤ S', 1.2e-16 to 9.8e-15 above each side

  • T-155 V3 C3 Levy after Daniel · 2026-10-12 · 59 cases

    Exact regularized sides at 59 counts, 5.4e-20 to 9.9e-15 below the ceilings they replace

  • T-180 V0 C1 Hosono · 2026-10-14 · 264 cases

    Closed-form lower bound s(N)≥a(N) for every non-square N≥49, reported

Verification

upper: replayed here; lower: external proof (read here), audited here

formal upper trails report; formal lower differs from report

Rigidity

not rigid, numerically checked, numerical multiprecision

Evidence: E-translation-escape-not-rigid

Scope

Square 12 of the retained witness (witness id 13) translates 0.014719 along (0.707107, -0.707107) with the packing still valid, so the configuration admits a non-trivial feasible motion; 44 of its 202 squares do. Every constraint is exactly affine in the slide parameter, so the arithmetic carries no linearization error, but the coordinates are the witness's own finite-precision transcription: this settles the retained configuration, not the true optimum. Rigidity and optimality are independent, and this bears only on the former.

Regularization

Regularized by the Squares Project with Daniel's regularizer (evand/square-packing, MIT), with none of the project's modifications established; whether its solve climbed a retry rung is not recorded. A regularization of T-101's packing solved to its side, not drawn here; its exact side is registered in T-155, and the same side was first certified by Daniel's certificate (T-101), so it proves no new bound.

Open questions
  • Blocker (mathematics): verified_upper_bound is the exact side E-evand-exact-ceilings-2026-10-05-exact-replay and E-regularized-bounds-2026-10-12-exact-decision both prove, 14.727922061357855439362477738501, printed as 14.72792206135786, which trails the report 14.72792206135785 by 1e-14, and the report's exact form 2 + 9 sqrt(2), an irrational side, which no rational certificate reaches: the certificate's side lies 1.5e-19 above it. Closing the gap needs an exact algebraic certificate of the packing at its closed-form side. E-kingbird-upper-register

s(202) — open

Exact regularized certificate, 2026-10-12. This project’s regularization pass, Daniel’s exact solver and regularizer run here on this register’s witness, produced an exact rational packing of this arrangement, decided here over ℚ by two exact checkers: it proves s(202)≤14.727922061357855439362477738501, a bound Daniel’s exact certificate of this packing already proves at the same side (T-101). The verified upper bound is now that side exactly, resting on both certificates (T-101, T-155), and the record still prints it as 14.72792206135786. Until then the verified upper bound was exactly 14.72792206135786, the side of Daniel’s exact certificate of this packing rounded up at the printed precision (T-101).

Hosono’s closed form, 14 October 2026. Hosono’s closed form (wand125, 13 October 2026, T-180) states s(N)≥a(N) for every non-square N≥49, from a measure of line segments on 34 intervals of the fractional part. At n=202, k=14 and interval 6 give a(202)=14.275137791094952458820379644716…, so the reported lower bound here is now s(202)≥14.275137791094, rounded down, above Nagamochi’s closed form, 14.22875655532. The source replayed its certificate with its own checker; no record of it has been replayed here, so the verified lower bound is unchanged. The source states that its search, certificates, checkers and text were produced with AI assistance (Claude and Codex), under the direction of and reviewed by Hosono.

Exact certificate, 2026-10-06. Daniel’s square-packing published on 5 October 2026 an exact rational certificate of this packing, decided here over ℚ by two exact checkers that share no code with each other or with the source, and by the source’s own two run here: it proves s(202)≤14.72792206135786, the verified upper bound from 6 to 12 October 2026 (T-101). Until then the verified upper bound was the trivial grid bound 15.

Open. The best known packing gives s(202)≤14.72792207, and the strongest lower bound independently verified here is 14.220422 from Karakuş’s general theorem, leaving a gap of 0.5075. General bound: s(N)≥1/2+N−⌊N⌋+1/4.

The verified upper bound is a ceiling

verified_upper_bound for this case is 14.727922061357855439362477738501, exactly, proved by Daniel’s exact certificate of this packing (E-evand-exact-ceilings-2026-10-05-exact-replay, T-101) and by the exact regularized certificate of it (E-regularized-bounds-2026-10-12-exact-decision, T-155), and the record prints it as 14.72792206135786. As printed it is larger than the best known 14.72792206135785 two fields above it, by 1×10−14.

It is not the value of s(202) and not a different packing: it is the certificate’s own exact side. The catalogue gives the packing’s side exactly, as 2+92, and the certificate’s side lies 1.5×10−19 above that, so it bounds the exact side from above and does not reach it. That side is irrational, so no rational certificate reaches it. The mathematics blocker in the frontmatter records the difference. Read reported_upper_bound for the best known side length.

The regularized exact certificate

This project’s regularization pass of 11 and 12 October 2026 ran Daniel’s exact solver and regularizer (evand/square-packing, MIT, vendored here) on this register’s witness for this count, with the conservative angle policy and coincide placement, which wrote its certificate at the side the solver reached, the solved point scaled by 1+10−20 and the side rounded up. The result is an exact rational packing of the same 202 squares in a square of side 14.727922061357855439362477738501, 4.6×10−15 below the verified upper bound the record held before, which was that same side rounded up at the printed precision: it is the side of Daniel’s certificate of this packing (T-101). Measured against the witness under the box’s eight symmetries, its squares pair one to one with the witness’s; none moves by more than 1×10−3, and none turns by more than 1×10−6 as a sine. It draws the same picture as the witness, so the atlas drawing does not change.

Each pair and each wall is decided over ℚ twice, by sqpack’s exact separating-axis test and by an independent checker that shares no code with it, and both accept it; both refuse it with its tightest pair pushed into overlap and with its box shrunk past its least clearance (certificate). The same two checkers accepted it in the run that made it, so this is a reproduction with the producer’s code. That proves s(202)≤14.727922061357855439362477738501. Daniel’s certificate of this packing already proves the same bound at the same side (T-101), and its replay here, by two checkers that share no code with each other or with the source, is independent of the code that made this view. That side is the exact form of the case’s verified_upper_bound, which cites both certificates (T-101, T-155) and prints it as 14.72792206135786, the decimal it printed before and an upper display of it. It says nothing about optimality, and the packing stays its finders’.

The earlier exact certificate

Daniel’s square-packing published on 5 October 2026 exact rational certificates of the packings this register lists as best known, solved from its own witnesses, and offered those that do not lower a printed side as a replay of the existing bounds, asking for nothing to be registered from them. The certificate for this count holds the same 202 squares, each a rational centre and a rational t=tan(θ/2), in a square of side 14.7279220613578554394…, 5.4×10−15 above the side the Kingbird catalogue prints, 14.72792206135785. Rounded to binary64, square for square, its pose is the one the atlas pictures for this count. Daniel’s solver moves the binary64 pose to a nearby exact KKT point of the problem of minimizing the side under non-overlap, computed at 80 digits, and rounds it outward to rationals.

This repository decides the certificate exactly. Converted without rounding, every pair and every wall is decided over ℚ twice, by sqpack’s exact separating-axis test and by an independent checker that shares no code with it, and the source’s own two checkers, run here as retained, accept it as well (receipts). That proves s(202)≤14.72792206135786, the verified upper bound until 12 October 2026: the certificate’s side rounded up at the fourteen decimals the catalogue prints, as the record writes any certificate of a printed side. It says nothing about optimality. On jlevy/squares#375 its author wrote that the solver, its checkers and the batch “were written with Claude (Anthropic) as a coding and research agent, directed and reviewed by me.”

The packing

Found by an unrecorded author, via a diagonal-strip construction.

The lower bound

The strongest lower bound independently verified in this record is Karakuş’s general bound, which applies to every nonsquare N≥8:

s(N)≥12+N−⌊N⌋+14

Correction, 2 October 2026. Until that date the verified lower bound here was Nagamochi’s general closed form, s(N)≥min(⌈N⌉,N−2⌊N⌋+1+1), which is stronger at this n and is now recorded as a reported bound. Its published proof rests on Nagamochi’s Lemma 1, which Karakuş showed false; nothing is disproved, and no packing beating it is known (review of 2 October 2026). This register had recorded that proof as verified, its own error, logged as defect D-516.

Source-reported bounds are recorded separately from this independently verified theorem.

Verification Code

The programs behind this case’s verified bounds, by their evidence. The code column says how the code that ran stands to the code its producer used. VERIFIERS.md says what each program is and whose it is.

bound evidence run code programs
verified lower E-karakus-strip-lower a published proof no code no verification code
verified lower E-karakus-strip-measure-interval audited here independent V-check-karakus-strip-measure (first-party)
verified upper E-evand-exact-ceilings-2026-10-05-exact-replay replayed here independent V-sqpack-verify, V-check-rational-witness-independent (first-party); V-evand-exact-certificates (first-party, premises)
verified upper E-evand-exact-ceilings-2026-10-05-source-replay replayed here producer’s code V-evand-verify-cert-py, V-evand-verify-cert2-py (external); V-evand-exact-certificates (first-party, premises)
verified upper E-regularized-bounds-2026-10-12-exact-decision replayed here producer’s code V-sqpack-verify, V-check-rational-witness-independent (first-party); V-register-regularized-bounds (first-party, premises)